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Ian provides analysis and an introductory guide to golf live betting on the PGA Tour by making selections both before and during the 2023 Arnold Palmer . That said, +5,000 odds for a player six months removed from contending for a PGA three-peat? The Genesis Invitational is Feb. 16-19 at Riviera Country Club. Sleeper pick: Marc Leishman, +7,000. Im betting that bombing it will matter less than plain old grit. Besides Jon Rahm, no one is hotter than McIlory right now. Zach Johnson None of the 46-year-olds 12 PGA TOUR victories were in Florida, and hes done more damage on other sites in the state than PGA National, but he still deserves attention as a potential threat in matchup scenarios. PGA odds are always available at the online sportsbook. Tommy Fleetwoodshot level par today, but hopefully, he can bounce back tomorrow after making a triple-bogey in R2. The entire $6krange in the screenshot above will be going off in the morning after some mediocre golf so far. Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. Not to mention a guy who has been rock solid all year. Now, McClure has set his sights on the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 and revealed his optimal PGA DFS picks. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, 7 interesting gear finds inside Tommy Fleetwoods golf bag | Bag Spy, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. I really like the value for all three outright plays. With that being said, he has struggled historically with Bermuda greens. This PGA is particularly interesting because none of the front runners come in without some extra baggage. If you dont pick him to win, be sure to grab him at +450 to top-10. It's expected to be another tough test after Scheffler won last year by one stroke at 5-under par. For live odds, visit BetMGM. Before making any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. Set a budget. Jon Rahm is predicted to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational with a 13.33% implied probability i.e., the overall chance of a potential outcome in relation to the odds according to betting markets. To-win: Rory McIlroy, +1,150. Despite its spot on the schedule, the Charles Schwab Challenge is boasting a solid field just a few days after the conclusion of the 104th PGA Championship. More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. When youre talented, youre talented. The One and Done format is growing in . Sleeper pick: Garrick Higgo, +14,000. I like a gritty player with a strong short game to win this week, so Patrick Reed immediately grabs my attention. Ads help us pay RotobBaller's award-winning writers as much as possible they are vital to the site's operations and team. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio. Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors. Lets see it! You can only see the picks at SportsLine. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is . Sleeper pick: Garrick Higgo, +14,000. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,500. McIlroy has had a ton of success at this tournament. He just closed out his second season of the last five as the runner-up on its Order of Merit. The 33-year-old has played well at this event, logging two runner-up finishes (2018 and 2021). Since 2020, he has 17 top-10 finishes, and 12 of them would be on difficult courses. In Ontario, if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600 to speak to an advisor, free of charge. The affable personality is a short-lister for sponsor exemptions, when necessary, and theyll come in handy playing on conditional status, but the pressure is eased at 109th in the FedExCup. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. He's an excellent ball striker, so if the wind picks up, that could be in his favor. His stats from this season wont jump off the page, but hes played well lately (T28 or better in his past four, including a win) and should have a good chance this week. FedEx St. Jude Championship picks 2022: Sleepers/Dark Horses we like Caddie: Scott Stallings (130-1, DraftKings) Scott might be the hottest golfer not named Rory without a win right now. Winners have primarily come from the second tier in the odds board. Per our model, Rory McIlroy has +179 odds to finish in the Top 5 at this event, making PointsBet's odds a 5-star value. He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. The PGA Championship is a completely different beast, but I have a weird feeling hes going to contend in his first major. The 21-year-old lefty is on an absolute heater at the moment, with two wins in his past three European Tour starts. The two-time PGA champion barely cracked. Golf DFS News and Player. Notice the amount of green AM tee times. Arnold Palmer Invitational Sleepers Keegan Bradley +6000 Odds to Win Bradley has enjoyed plenty of past success at this event, including finishing inside the top 11 each of the past two years. Ancer will get his first PGA Tour win in 2021 why not at a major? The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando is next up on the PGA Tour schedule, the third designated event in four weeks. When it came to selecting players to win outright, I weighed having a top-15 finish in a prior edition of the event over my Fantasy National model. Going into the week, Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win, followed by Rory McIlroy (+800). The full-field model is available to premium subscribers HERE. Finau is also playing outstanding golf of late. The tournament was already the most electric on the PGA Tour, and that bar will be raised even higher this week with more fans in attendance and it being a designated event. To-win: Matthew Fitzpatrick, +6,000. My top 10 was: Xander Schauffele, Cantlay, McIlroy, Tony Finau, Shane Lowry, Kim, Hideki Matsuyama, Im, Max Homa and Scottie Scheffler. Check out all of the sportsbooks and their bonus offers: Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. These are the golfers I am gravitating towards, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! McIlroy (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Max Homa (19-1) are the other favorites. As for Spieth (43) and Zalatoris (30), they dont rank highly in my model, but +4000 at a major-like event is probably the best value Ill get on either player for the rest of the year. Top 2023 Honda Classic One and Done picks. Tiger Woods, Bryson DeChambeau, and Rory McIlroy have won, but so have shorter hitters like Francesco Molinari and Matt Every. You never mind a South African when the wind blows, especially a talent for whom his approach game has been his strength of late. Thats not a bad combination for success on an Ocean Course that typically sees high winds and unpredictable conditions. Its also a major, and he rarely struggles in the big ones. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. In this article, we are going to break down the previous round's top performers and duds and use that information to derive a player pool full of upside and leverage. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win. These elevated events just keep elevating. Sleeper pick: Jason Kokrak, +13,000. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. Play with friends. And for the last time this season, players will be putting on poa greens. In nine starts this season, he has two top-25 finishes, with his best being a T-11 at The American Express. On to our expert picks and info on how to bet for free. 2-ranked player in the world didnt finish inside the top 8. The expert also just missed a massive 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. FanDuel Strategy Nuances (PGA DFS) 2. But, to score well, players must be on top of their ball striking and scramble well to avoid bogeys. DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings gives Masters DFS advice for tournaments like the DraftKings Millionaire Maker Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Farmers Insurance Open Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers Pat Mayo breaks down the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open, making his picks and rankings for the event while previewing the course and key stats. ***Full disclosure: The ownership numbers are based on the $10K Drive The Green $5 Single Entry contest, which is important to note as ownership in showdown can vary from contest to contest depending on field size and entry fee. The result marks Kirk's. The Phoenix region will be the center of the sports world this week, with the Super Bowl at State Farm Stadium and the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. Ill take the great putter who doesnt have an ounce of quit. He hit another 25-1 shot at the Houston Open, taking Tony Finau to win. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. We're back at The King's place for the second leg of the Florida swing. All three of these golfers provide the upside that can be found in the $10k range, at a price and ownership discount (excluding Cantlay's ownership). Hes a perfect sleeper this week! Hes also 4-for-5 in 2023 with a T29 last week at Riviera where he flashed his game in a microcosm. PGA Tour schedule World Golf Rankings 2023 Farmers Insurance Open props, best bets, odds: Sleepers, head-to-head golf matchup picks from PGA expert Mike McClure studied the Farmers. You can only see McClure's Honda Classic one and done picks at SportsLine. After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. Is Brooks Koepka fully healthy? Emotions are running high in the PGA Tour-LIV Golf battle, and Billy Horschel is a player who . Mike McClure has locked in his sleepers and PGA one and done golf picks this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill By CBS Sports Staff 15 mins ago 3 min read USATSI The. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! The message was that hes balanced and playing well upon arrival. Sleeper pick: Gary Woodland, +10,000. Think of it as a traffic light with four colors. 5! Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with a 9.52% implied probability. Expert picks to win and sleepers to watch for the Open Championship . Low-Priced FanDuel DFS Players 5. You can view live odds from the first round through the final round. The players who are most likely to have success this week are the ones who can position themselves well off the tee by working their golf ball in both directions and then scramble well around the greens. 21 years of age or older to wager. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. Corey Conners shot 66 (-6) and lead the field in fantasy points, taking advantage of the rather benign conditions this morning. All of our market picks are independently selected and curated by the editorial team. section: | slug: 2023-arnold-palmer-invitational-picks-predictions-field-odds-golf-expert-fading-justin-thomas-at-bay-hill | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | He just closed out his second season of the last five as the runner-up on its Order of Merit. He finished T-10 last week at the WM Phoenix Open and T-8 at this event in 2021. In his last five starts, all on his native circuit, hes finished T6, T7, second, second and third. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. Win Big With RotoBaller 6. Lee, the man who barely missed a shot all last week, at 225-to-1??? Play with trusted, licensed operators. After most of the top players did not play in last weeks. Probably not! He ranks first in strokes gained around the green, and McDonald knows that is a huge benefit. The $20 million purse has brought out the best, with major champions like Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth and Matt Fitzpatrick among the many stars. The 26-year-old from England took the title at the Soudal Open in Belgium on Sunday. Expert Picks A Change Text Size Written by Staff @PGATOUR How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. He's not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but he's also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. This is way down the odds board, but Bezuidenhout has thrived on Bermuda greens and has finished in the top 20 at this event each of the last three years. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? Spencer Aguiar - Will Zalatoris 5. OK, so thats a lot of animals and a tenuous connection to the free-spirited 33-year-old who has set the snail loose on occasion but is unlikely to make an appearance if his owner remains consistent at PGA National, home of, naturally, The Bear Trap, which has revealed a softer underbelly when Hubbard has appeared. In Ontario, if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600 to speak to an advisor, free of charge. On the other hand, Rahm hasn't shown many flaws on his stunning run of 10 straight top-10 finishes. I still feel that were bound to get a run in DJs career where he rolls off a few major victories. His third at the RSM Classic, at Sea Island, last fall proved hes comfortable on breezy oceanside courses. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. By taking a look at yesterday's ownership, we can get an idea of where people will be willing to go in Round 3 (DK points include finishing position). Does his best work with his putter. Each lineup consists. He finished inside the top 10 at this event three of the last four years. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. I just cant imagine anyone having a better chance than Rory this week. CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. Not only is the Genesis Invitational played at Riviera Country Club, one of the most elite courses in the country, but its a designated event, so all the top players on the PGA Tour are in the field, including tournament host Tiger Woods. He shot -2 today and will look to carry that momentum into the weekend. He had been sidelined for two-and-a-half months with an injured back before returning for a T18 (with Matt Wallace) at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. Bring on major victory No. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2023. With windy conditions over the weekend a year ago, Scottie Scheffler won the event at 5-under and only 10 players finished the tournament under par. Historically, these have been some of the easiest greens of the year to putt on. Power has had some very strong finishes this year, including a top 10 at the recent PGA Championship. Four golfers are priced shorter than 20-1 in Caesars Sportsbook's latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, led by Rahm at 7-1. And in the prognostication business, youre only as good as your next pick. Caddies dont matter a ton, except when they do. Its also worth noting the Bermuda greens, as some players putt better on them than others. So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. The Honda Classic celebrated its 50th anniversary last year but without a lefty among its list of champions; well, unless you approve Blaine McCallister's putting stroke that set what was then the tournament record of 22-under 266 at TPC Eagle Trace in 1989. These players will be higher-owned and chalkier than golfers in the same price range who had an off day, particularly with their irons. Hes followed by Rory McIlroy at 9.09%. Going into Round 3, these are the color codes we will be using to identify who we want to target. at the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters in late March. Not only is he fresh off a victory at Quail Hollow, hes a former champion at this very venue, and the ultra-long course seems like it will suit him even better (if thats even possible) this time around. Its been a quietly strong season for the veteran, who has added a much-improved short game to his power repertoire. ). PGA Tour golfers aren't the only ones who can make some starting next Thursday. TV Broadcast: GOLFTV. Because of this, it will be worth targeting the best ball strikers and the players who excel in the Bogey Avoidance metric. Play has been Suspended due to Darkness. The WM Phoenix Open will be played Feb. 9-12 at TPC Scottsdale. Now just three months from his 32nd birthday, the native of Seoul, South Korea, is making his PGA Championship debut as the fifth-best golfer from his homeland (at 115th in the Official World Golf Ranking). He won in 2021 and finished in the top 10 two more times in the last three years. It starts this week. The winning score at the event over the last seven years has been between -11 and -19. The small tweaks he made in his swing are paying dividends, and with the championship contested at the windblown Kiawah Resort, I like the shot-making Texans chances to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy come Sunday. Hes talked several times before about learning to play in the wind while growing up in blustery Warrnambool, Australia, and he actually prefers a ball flight thats low and that he can work both ways. I dont think hes a sleeper, but the odds say he is. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. The Englishman does his best work from tee to green and he scores well on the par 4s, crucial with a dozen dotting PGA National. Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring. This pick is justifiable on its own Homa has big-time game but Homas fill-in caddie, Jim Bones Mackay, is the X-factor that could propel him to the big-time this week. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. Has the game and mindset to handle whatever Kiawah throws at the players this week. All Rights Reserved. Lastly, course history plays more of a factor than in most weeks. Few players have been steadier over the past two months, with no finishes outside of the top 30 in his past eight starts including a runner-up finish at Quail Hollow and a fifth at Innisbrook in his past two starts. How do LIV Golfs TV ratings really compare to the PGA Tour? Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. ET at Cashman Field (FX). Hes an excellent ball striker, so if the wind picks up, that could be in his favor.