In the main event, former light They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The Gerrymandering Project - FiveThirtyEight Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. police- settlements. Our Data | FiveThirtyEight They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. 3 min read. 9 days ago. Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. robert kraft granddaughter. Video What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts What does it take to make democracy work? 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne waste district director to retire, come back at FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. The Supreme Court Not So Much. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. Rules of the Game - discussing democratic institutions su Apple Podcasts The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. File Upload. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. Accuracy is not guaranteed. The Gerrymandering Project: California | FiveThirtyEight Politics The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. The data behind that evolution is striking. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. RSS Loading. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". 2,. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe How To Create A Podcast Transcript - The Ultimate Guide What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. Instagram did not return a 200. Good Sport on Apple Podcasts The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Today those numbers have flipped. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. 11:03 AM. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. Best FiveThirtyEight Podcasts (2023) - Player Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. 266, the . FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn So, the usual. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling.
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